The Stone Age Press seems to create a new poll every week showing the President or the War at a new low. As we all
know there are liars and there are statistics, polls are no more than statistics. There are three main problems with these
so called objective polls. First, it is next to impossible now to get a representative sample of America’s opinion as
we have witnessed during the past 3 "upset" elections. Second, all you are predicting is that a certain percentage
of the sample have a certain opinion. They know you will trust that their sample represents the general population. What difference
does a poll make that over samples people who did not vote for the President in the first place?
One of the requirements
when buying an accounting degree in college was to take Graduate statistics and one of those classes was Sampling. The Prof’s
favorite saying was, "your outcome is only as good as your sample" and in this case, your group percentages. The
old saying, garbage in; garbage out is an absolute when it comes to sampling. A good sample is completely random, unbiased
in your collection and a reflection of your population.
In today’s America is it really possible to get accurate
information in a country that is very closely divided? With the widespread usage of caller ID and cell phones there is no
way that a polling company can create a truly random sample. Most people that see a bulk caller name are not going to waste
their time answering a probable sales call or survey. In addition with many young people having only cell phones which cannot
be sampled, the quality of polls have declined dramatically. As much as 50% of some target groups are not going to answer
these calls which destroys the sample validity.
The question wording and inflection of the pollcat uses when asking
the questions can also skew the sample. If the question is loaded, which describes most of the poll questions you can get
the answer you are looking for. Just asking if the President is doing a good job in Iraq, infers that he is not. It has been
shown during actual elections that people do not talk to pollcats the way they do in the privacy of a voting booth. The PC
answer is always to vote against Republicans if you are an independent. A point or two in a close poll will be magnified dramatically.
recent poll showing President Bush with a 44% approval rating and a 3% margin, means that his actual is between 41 and 47%
and likely towards the higher. With a winning percentage of 51% it is highly unlikely that 7-10% have changed their minds.
It is more likely an error or a pollster/snooze organization seeking a result they want.
If America voted 51-48% an
honest poll would use these same percentages. Of course if that were the mix it is not hard to predict what the outcome would
be. Rather these pollcats use every other ratio in the book and usually weight the polls toward the DemocRats, as if they
won. If that is the case nobody expects the voters who voted against GW to suddenly change their minds. Why do the pollsters
continue to give more weight to the group who doesn’t like him in the first place? Simple, they are getting the numbers
they are going after.
Fortunately, George Bush doesn’t govern by poll. In an age when Republicans amazingly bounce
10-15% in the so called polls right before an election, why should they give an ABDNC poll the time of day. More to the point,
why should President Bush care what the people who voted and campaigned against him think? He should treat them with the same
contempt that they have shown him. If the people who voted with him were to change their opinion, he should pay attention,
but for those who ran a nasty campaign against him; forget it; they Lost. If pollcats really wanted to see if there has been
a change of opinion they should only poll Republicans who voted him in.
The polls today are as fraudulent and inaccurate
as PravdABDNC. There is no way to get a completely random sample that represents the population. With the impossibilities
getting accurate data, it lends itself to biased polls and pollsters. This is what we are seeing on a daily basis from the
Stone Age Press who’s credibility is in the morgue. As long as GW’s supporters are still with him, he has nothing
to be concerned with. To pretend these polls can reflect voters opinions within 5-10 points let alone 1 or 2 is a trip back
to Woodstock. The polls today are nothing but a tool in the empty Rat toolbox.
Pray for W and Our Freedom Fighters